Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.050193 0.054546 0.058956 0.063752 0.068811 0.073983 0.079662
2025-06-08 0.044487 0.050975 0.057780 0.065423 0.073740 0.082491 0.092367
2025-06-15 0.039808 0.047821 0.056487 0.066494 0.077669 0.089703 0.103584
2025-06-22 0.035868 0.044997 0.055145 0.067155 0.080867 0.095930 0.113621
2025-06-29 0.032302 0.042215 0.053524 0.067208 0.083147 0.100963 0.122216
2025-07-06 0.030377 0.041131 0.053674 0.069138 0.087450 0.108209 0.133285
2025-07-13 0.027446 0.038583 0.051877 0.068586 0.088704 0.111835 0.140125
2025-07-20 0.025266 0.036780 0.050818 0.068773 0.090713 0.116253 0.147828
2025-07-27 0.023735 0.035668 0.050499 0.069764 0.093612 0.121675 0.156690
2025-08-03 0.022659 0.035055 0.050731 0.071378 0.097230 0.127937 0.166560
2025-08-10 0.020028 0.032204 0.047957 0.069078 0.095915 0.128172 0.169153
2025-08-17 0.018355 0.030537 0.046615 0.068505 0.096665 0.130852 0.174647
2025-08-24 0.016810 0.028981 0.045378 0.068056 0.097594 0.133811 0.180592
2025-08-31 0.016303 0.028872 0.046068 0.070125 0.101746 0.140795 0.191533
2025-09-07 0.015559 0.028367 0.046179 0.071405 0.104880 0.146527 0.200974
2025-09-14 0.014704 0.027637 0.045935 0.072174 0.107334 0.151408 0.209381
2025-09-21 0.013701 0.026615 0.045225 0.072266 0.108870 0.155115 0.216330
2025-09-28 0.013369 0.026609 0.045945 0.074314 0.112993 0.162133 0.227473
2025-10-05 0.012297 0.025359 0.044811 0.073742 0.113596 0.164625 0.232906
2025-10-12 0.011521 0.024536 0.044256 0.073942 0.115206 0.168402 0.239969
2025-10-19 0.011027 0.024142 0.044312 0.074986 0.117946 0.173641 0.248908
2025-10-26 0.010731 0.024063 0.044829 0.076683 0.121582 0.180066 0.259399
2025-11-02 0.009451 0.022198 0.042543 0.074267 0.119516 0.178979 0.260202